Economy
Cars and Appliances, Old Economy
Staples, Topped Cable, PCs in Shopper Satisfaction
By JON E. HILSENRATH and JOE FLINT Staff Reporters of
THE WALL
STREET JOURNAL
NEW YORK -- New Economy companies aren't just losing in the
stock market. They also appear to be losing in the hearts and
minds of finicky American consumers.
That is one message in the latest installment of the
American Customer Satisfaction Index, a national measure of
consumer attitudes. It shows that shoppers are happier with
Old Economy products such as automobiles and household
appliances than they are with New Economy personal computers
and cable-television services that offer hundreds of
channels.
The index, scheduled for release Monday by the University
of Michigan Business School, focuses on specific segments of
the economy each quarter. Previous surveys have measured
nondurable manufacturing, services, the federal government and
retail trade. The results for the second quarter left the
overall index, a running tally of the different sectors,
little changed at 72.1 from 72.2 for the first quarter.
Erosion Slows
The latest reading suggests that the notable erosion of
consumer satisfaction that occurred at the end of 2000 and the
beginning of this year has slowed for now. Economists at the
University of Michigan say that means consumer spending, a
pillar of the economy, may stabilize at its current rate of
modest growth during the months ahead.
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See the University of Michigan Business
School's latest American Customer Satisfaction
Index.
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The University of Michigan's Claes Fornell, who is in
charge of the survey, says that satisfaction and spending are
closely linked. Other economists don't believe the link is
clear on a national level, although they say differences among
companies in the same industry do help determine who wins
market share.
The industry breakdowns in the latest survey provided some
surprises. ACSI scores for the computer industry declined 4.1%
from 74 for the first quarter to 71, the lowest level since
1998. Every computer maker in the survey took a hit. Although
personal computers have become faster, more powerful and
cheaper, some industry executives admit that computer
companies may not be doing enough to help consumers learn how
to use their machines.
"We're seeing a lot more novice users becoming part of our
customer base," says Rick Chase, vice president for customer
service at Dell
Computer Corp., of Austin, Texas. "It probably sets an
even higher need for assistance." He says that is especially
true because computers are becoming more complex, as consumers
use them to handle everything from managing digital photos to
downloading music. But with widespread cost-cutting, customer
service at many companies might be deteriorating.
The biggest loser among computer companies was Gateway
Inc., which saw its ACSI score fall 6.4% to 73. The company,
which posted a $524 million loss for the first half of the
year, has gone through wrenching changes recently, including a
consolidation of three separate customer-service units into
one.
Yet Nemo Azamian, Gateway's vice president of customer
services and support, said the San Diego company has made big
improvements in satisfaction since the return of its retired
chief executive, Ted Waitt, in February. One of Mr. Waitt's
first acts, says Mr. Azamian, was to scrap a performance
incentive applied to customer-service representatives that
encouraged them to get off the phone with unhappy users as
quickly as possible.
Mr. Azamian says Gateway's internal measures have turned
up. In one measure of customer satisfaction, he says, 75% of
Gateway customers gave the company a thumbs-up grade of at
least six out of seven. That is up from 68% who ranked the
company the same way in October, he says. International
Business Machines Corp., Armonk, N.Y., which showed the
second-largest drop in satisfaction, declined to comment on
the survey.
Providers of satellite and cable television, which were
measured for the first time in the survey, ranked even lower
than computer makers. Some analysts said that isn't too
surprising. Not too long ago, cable consisted of a collection
of local monopolies that paid little attention to customer
service. In fact, service was so poor that in 1992 Congress
mandated that cable companies improve their customer-help
lines. "There continue to be service issues," says Tom
Wolzien, a cable analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.
But he notes that the cable companies, which have invested
millions in customer-service centers, still have improved
sharply from where they were in the early 1990s.
Praise for Old Economy
When it comes to Old Economy staples such as cars and
household appliances, consumers are far more complimentary.
The Kenmore brand of home appliances, which include a range of
products from refrigerators to dishwashers that are sold
exclusively at Sears,
Roebuck & Co., Hoffman Estates, Ill., received an ACSI
score of 86, up 1.2% from 85. Mr. Fornell says consumers like
Kenmore because some of its products are among the most
energy-efficient on the market. Unlike computers, these
appliances are simple to use and don't break down very
often.
The scores for two appliance makers, Maytag
Corp. in Newton, Iowa, and Whirlpool
Corp., declined, even though their ratings remain relatively
high. Both companies have been struggling with declining sales
and profits in recent quarters, but Shawne Howell, director of
marketing intelligence at Whirlpool, said the Benton Harbor,
Mich., company's internal service numbers hadn't declined
during the past year, though she added they were in the "same
ballpark" as the ACSI index. Maytag spokesman James G. Powell
said, "Our internal and external data indicate the quality of
both our products and our consumer service continue to
improve."
Demographic trends might have something to do with some of
the differences between manufacturers. Some analysts contend
that young consumers are less loyal to specific products. So
products that appeal to older Americans sometimes do better in
quality rankings. Consider Cadillac, General
Motors Corp.'s luxury car. With a rating of 88, it ranked
higher than every other product or company in the University
of Michigan survey except H.J.
Heinz Co., Pittsburgh, which received a rating of 90 when
it was last measured during the third quarter of last
year.
Mr. Fornell says Cadillac benefits in the rankings from a
limited base of very loyal customers, the bulk of whom are men
over the age of 65. "Customer satisfaction is as much about
good customer selection and segmentation as it is about
quality," says Mr. Fornell. Jeff Kuhlman, a spokesman for
Cadillac, says that while older customers are partly
responsible for its strong showing, it believes that the
introduction of new cars, such as the Escalade sport-utility
vehicle, which appeals to buyers in their 40s, also helped its
rating.
Even though most car companies received above-average
scores, two models, Dodge and Lincoln-Mercury, saw
statistically significant declines. However, Marci Evans, a
spokeswoman for Ford
Motor Co., which produces Lincoln-Mercury, said that
separate surveys conducted by the research company J.D. Power
and Associates showed its customer satisfaction had improved.
Ms. Evans also suggested that the ACSI survey wasn't wide
enough. "They have a relatively small sample size, 250
respondents per brand," she said. An executive at DaimlerChrysler
Co., which makes Dodge, didn't respond to calls requesting
comment.
The biggest gainer among car companies was Hyundai
Motor Corp., which developed a reputation for shoddy,
low-end cars during the late 1980s and early 1990s. Hyundai's
satisfaction score jumped 6.6% in 2001, placing it near the
luxury cars. The increase isn't a coincidence. Finbarr
O'Neill, chief executive of Hyundai Motor America, says that
early in the 1990s, Hyundai "didn't live up to the promise" of
delivering cars on a par with Japan, but that is changing. In
addition to improving car quality, Hyundai now bases
performance bonuses for individual salesmen on how they rate
in customer-satisfaction surveys.
To create the American Customer Satisfaction Index, the
National Quality Research Center at the University of Michigan
in partnership with the American Society for Quality and the
CFI Group of Ann Arbor, Mich., conduct telephone surveys with
12,500 current customers of the companies being surveyed that
quarter.
Each year, that amounts to about 65,000 customers of
products from about 190 companies and 58 government agencies.
Sales of the measured companies constitute 30% to 40% of the
U.S. gross domestic product.
Companies are scored on a scale of 0 to 100. Industry
indexes are constructed with company indexes, weighted by the
sales of each company. The national index is made up of the
industry indexes, weighted by their contribution to GDP.
Different sectors are updated each quarter, so the entire
index is fully updated each year. Customers are quizzed about
their expectations and their perceptions of value and quality
in the services they have purchased; for manufactured goods,
quality is broken down into measures of the product and the
service accompanying the product. These are translated through
computer models into overall customer-satisfaction scores,
which are used to predict customer loyalty.
American Customer Satisfaction
Index
The University of Michigan Business School's National
Quality Research Center annually surveys customers of more
than 190 companies and 58 government agencies, but each
quarter it only updates selected industries. Here are the
index scores, out of a possible 100, for the second quarter of
2001:
| Group/Manufacturer
|
2001 Score |
% Change from 2000
|
| MANUFACTURING - DURABLES |
78.7 |
–0.9% |
| Automobiles |
80 |
0.0% |
| Cadillac (GM) |
88 |
+2.3% |
| BMW |
86 |
+2.4% |
| Mercedes Benz (DC*) |
86 |
–1.1% |
| GM-Buick |
86 |
0.0% |
| Honda Motor |
83 |
+1.2% |
| Toyota Motor |
83 |
+1.2% |
| Lincoln-Mercury (Ford) |
82 |
–3.5% |
| Volvo (Ford) |
81 |
–1.2% |
| Oldsmobile (GM) |
81 |
+1.3% |
| Hyundai |
81 |
+6.6% |
| Volkswagen |
81 |
–2.4% |
| Saturn (GM) |
80 |
–2.4% |
| Nissan |
80 |
+2.6% |
| GMC Truck (GM) |
79 |
–2.5% |
| All Others |
79 |
+5.3% |
| Chrysler/Plymouth (DC*) |
78 |
–2.5% |
| Ford |
78 |
+1.3% |
| Chevrolet (GM) |
78 |
–2.5% |
| Pontiac (GM) |
78 |
0.0% |
| Mazda |
78 |
0.0% |
| Dodge (DC*) |
77 |
–4.9% |
| Jeep/Eagle (DC*) |
76 |
+1.3% |
| Consumer electronics |
81 |
–2.4% |
| Household appliances |
82 |
–3.5% |
| Kenmore |
86 |
+1.2% |
| General Electric |
83 |
0.0% |
| Maytag |
83 |
–4.6% |
| Whirlpool |
83 |
–3.5% |
| All Others |
80 |
+2.6% |
| Personal computers |
71 |
–4.1% |
| Dell |
78 |
–2.5% |
| Apple |
73 |
–2.7% |
| Gateway |
73 |
–6.4% |
| Hewlett-Packard |
73 |
–1.4% |
| IBM |
71 |
–5.3% |
| Compaq |
69 |
–2.8% |
| All Others |
67 |
–1.5% |
| CABLE & SATELLITE TV
|
64 |
N.A. |
| EchoStar Comm. |
71 |
N.A. |
| DirecTV |
70 |
N.A. |
| Comcast |
64 |
N.A. |
| AOL Time Warner |
63 |
N.A. |
| Charter Comm. |
63 |
N.A. |
| AT&T |
62 |
N.A. |
| All Others |
62 |
N.A. |
* a DaimlerChrysler company
Write to Jon E. Hilsenrath at jon.hilsenrath@wsj.com
and Joe Flint at http://interactive.wsj.com/fr/emailthis/joe.flint@wsj.com |