Article 4 of 8
Economy

Customer Satisfaction:
Satisfaction With Retail and Financial Companies Slips
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Personal-Property Insurers,
Supermarkets Are Only Two
To Gain From Year Ago

By Melanie Trottman
 
02/22/2000
The Wall Street Journal
Page A2
(Copyright (c) 2000, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

The continued surge in spending in today's robust economy doesn't necessarily mean consumers are smiling more at the cash register.

In fact, a quarterly survey of customer satisfaction, scheduled for release today, indicates that customers of retail and financial-services companies grew less satisfied in the fourth quarter of 1999 compared with a year earlier. The results also show general long-term declines in customer satisfaction since the index's start in 1994.

Compiled by the National Quality Research Center at the University of Michigan Business School in partnership with the American Society for Quality, the American Customer Satisfaction Index found that satisfaction with retail companies in the fourth quarter fell 1.9% to 73.3 out of a possible score of 100. Satisfaction with financial services also fell, by 0.7% to 73.9.

Only two categories out of seven showed year-over-year increases, supermarkets and personal-property insurance companies, both with scores above the national average of 72.8.

"This is sort of a backside of a growing economy," said Claes Fornell, a professor at the university's research center. "What the economy has done is increase productivity, and there has certainly been more attention paid to the bottom line than customer satisfaction, in general."

Mr. Fornell believes that the quality of economic output is as important as the productivity of economic resources and that attempting to improve one without improving the other could eventually harm economic growth because consumers could become disenchanted and curb their spending.

But other economists see something else at work. Brian Wesbury, chief economist at Griffin, Kubik, Stephens & Co. in Chicago, said declining satisfaction may actually be a function of rising expectations. "There is no doubt that the quality of products today is much better than years ago, but consumer expectations are outstripping the ability of companies to improve quality." Mr. Wesbury said that is partly because American consumers are fussier than ever. "Consumers are trying to force perfection in almost everything. So if I have to wait on line, I'm unhappy with that. If I don't get a dial tone on my cell phone, I'm unhappy about that. But cell phones are a great product."

Still, the news isn't all bad. The broader index, based on a survey asking customers about their expectations and their experiences with a number of products, shows overall customer satisfaction inched up 1% to 72.8 after factoring in the fourth-quarter update on retail and financial-services companies. And some companies measured in the quarter did increase their ratings. However, the declines in most groups outweighed the gains.

Consider gasoline stations, a group in which each company's score declined. BP Amoco fell the most, by 8.4% to 76, while Texaco Inc. declined 7.4% to 75, and Chevron Corp. dropped 6.2% to 76. The culprit: higher gas prices, which rose an average 32% last year, Mr. Fornell said.

Dan Larson, a BP Amoco spokesman, said he wouldn't have expected the ratings drop for the company, which he attributed to higher prices. "We're in an environment of rising crude prices, and no one likes to pay more money," he said.

Most other energy companies echoed his comment.

The score for life-insurance companies dropped as well, falling 1.3% to 76. But personal-property insurance companies rose 2.6% in the index to 79. Customers buying property or casualty insurance might want to thank Berkshire Hathaway Inc.'s Geico car-insurance unit for the improvements, said Weston Hicks, an insurance analyst at J.P. Morgan Securities. "Consumers' exposure is shifting from the traditional insurance agency that doesn't answer the phone to Geico, which is advertising its 24-hour service." That in turn has forced many of Geico's competitors to implement 24-hour, seven-days-aweek call centers where customers can make changes and get information on their policies. Geico's success has also spurred insurers to consider new ways, such as the Internet, to reach customers.

Of course, it also helps that car insurers, locked in frenzied competition for premium dollars, were lowering car-insurance rates over much of the period covered by the survey. Customers are basically saying, "We love it when you lower prices, we hate it when you raise prices," said Mr. Hicks.

Life insurers said the same focus on when-you-want-it answers has helped satisfaction stay fairly high. A spokesman for New York Life Insurance Co., whose approval rating increased 5.4% to 78, said it has been "placing a great deal of emphasis on training and development" of agents and customer-service employees at its four service centers.

Metropolitan Life Insurance Co., which is switching from a policyholder-owned mutual company to a publicy traded company in a few weeks, dropped 3.9% to a rating of 73 after having been on a steady upswing since 1996.

Kevin Foley, a spokesman for the company, noted that the study was done in the fourth quarter of 1999, at a time when the company "bombarded our customers with a lot of mailings" about a class-action settlement and about the company's pending switch. He expects the satisfaction level to resume its previous upward trend.

Department and discount stores also moved south in the ratings, falling 1.4% to 72. Kmart Corp. had the sharpest drop, 5.6%, and turned in the group's lowest score of 67. The company was on the brink of bankruptcy in the mid-'90s before getting a new chief executive, who needed to "basically fix a broken machine," said Brown Brothers Harriman retail analyst Daniel Binder. "He did a lot of things right, but it's still got some further room for improvement," Mr. Binder said.

Kmart declined to comment.

Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Sears, Roebuck & Co. also showed statistically significant declines, defined as a drop of at least three points. Peggy Palter, a Sears spokeswoman, said the retailer's own internal data showed that customer service was improving. Most other retailers that saw a decline said they hadn't seen the survey and thus couldn't comment. Others said they were disappointed with the rating and were trying hard to improve customer satisfaction.

When ranked with supermarkets, WalMart's Supercenters, combination discount and grocery stores, showed a 4% improvement in the index. The company is simply "doing a better job on food," said Merrill Lynch senior retailing analyst Daniel Barry. Mr. Binder said the drop at the discount stores could have resulted from Wal-Mart changing over some of the operations to supercenters.

The high scorer in the group was Costco Wholesale Corp., at 79. The company had no year-earlier comparison. Analysts hailed the wholesaling giant's merchandising strategy of selectively providing a wide range of high-quality products at compelling prices. "Costco is certainly the best of breed in its sector," Mr. Binder said.

The same is said to be true of Publix Super Markets Inc., which helped drive the supermarket group's score up 1.4% to 74. The grocery-store chain's 3.8% rise wasn't the biggest in the group, but its score of 82 was the best, both among supermarkets and the entire quarterly index.

As is typical, the smaller size of Publix's operation makes it more adept at handling the day-to-day requirements of doing business.

By contrast, the score for Winn-Dixie Stores Inc. dropped 4.1% to 71, which made it and Food Lion Inc. the lowest in the group. "Winn-Dixie is clearly in disarray," said Banc of America retailing analyst Gary Giblen, adding that numerous management changes and shifts in merchandising strategy have hurt the quality of day-to-day store conditions.

A Winn-Dixie spokesman said the company is "disappointed" with the rating. But the spokesman noted that Winn-Dixie named a new president and chief executive officer, Alan R. Rowland, in November, and "one of his primary objectives is for our stores to offer fresh quality merchandise in pleasant supermarkets and to meet our customers' expectations."

Supermarkets fared better than some other retailers because they aren't as susceptible to the tight labor market, Mr. Fornell said. They generally pay more than fast-food chains or general retail markets, analysts said.

Fast-food restaurants, though, have been squeezed by the tight labor market. "The turnover in this industry is just phenomenal," Mr. Fornell said. Even so, the group has remained virtually stable over the years although its scores are below average. McDonald's Corp., the low scorer at 61, didn't budge from a year earlier while Wendy's International Inc., Pizza Hut, and Domino's Pizza Inc. all fell.

"McDonald's is trying to be more responsive to customers," said Donaldson Lufkin Jenrette analyst Janice Meyer, who said the company is trying to slow unit growth and offer made-to-order burgers instead of those pulled from under a heat lamp.

Pizza Hut employees may have had less time to spend on customer service as sales rose in 1999 on the strength of the new New York-style pizza product, Ms. Meyer said. On the flip side, Burger King, which rose 3.1% in the index to 66, may have had more time to focus on consumer satisfaction because of its lower sales, Ms. Meyer said. To tackle the problem, many fast-food companies have raised wages and raised training time to attract workers, she said.

Burger King's increase surprised Bear Stearns analyst Joseph Buckley. "They had disappointing sales and spent most of 1999 trying to get off of the 99-cent Whopper pricing," Mr. Buckley said.

Tricon Global Restaurants Inc., owner of Pizza Hut and KFC, is changing its mix of restaurants, which could be causing service disruptions at stores, Mr. Buckley said. A Tricon spokeswoman said Pizza Hut had ". . . made a significant improvement in delivery speed" since the fourth quarter.

Banks had the worst showing of all financial-services sectors, dropping 2.9% to 68 from 70.

The decline is rooted in the strain of consolidation and push toward electronic banking, an option that older customers, in particular, have been hesitant to embrace, said Brown Brothers Harriman analyst Katrina Blecher. Mergers have resulted in customer inconveniences brought on by branch closings and technical glitches. Rising ATM fees have also left customers grumbling.

Bank One Corp. spokesman Thomas Kelly said the bank's two-point decline to 66 may have been caused by merger-related stresses tied to the 1998 combination of Banc One Corp. and First Chicago NBD Corp. The companies, which formed Chicago-based Bank One Corp., are addressing the issues.

The only bank that didn't fall was First Union Corp., which was unchanged.

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Deborah Lohse and J.C. Conklin contributed to this article.

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                            4Q '99     % Change
Group/Company                Score      4Q '98

Financial Services           73.9        -0.7
 Banks                       68          -2.9
 All Others                  70          -4.1
 First Union                 68           0.0
 Bank One                    66          -2.9
 Wells Fargo                 65          -3.0
 BankAmerica                 61          -1.6
Gasoline Stations            76          -3.8
 Exxon Mobil                 77          -3.8
 All Others                  76          -1.3
 BP Amoco                    76          -8.4
 Chevron                     76          -6.2
 Shell Oil                   75          -3.8
 Texaco                      75          -7.4
Life Insurance               76          -1.3
 Northw. Mutual Life Ins.    79           0.0
 All Others                  78           0.0
 New York Life Insurance     78          +5.4
 Metropolitan Life Ins.      73          -3.9
 Prudential Insurance        69          -2.8
Personal-Prop. Ins.          79          +2.6
 All Others                  80          +2.6
 State Farm Insurance        78           0.0
 Farmers Group               75          +4.2
 Allstate Insurance Group    73           0.0
Restaurant/Fast Food         69           0.0
 Papa John's                 76           0.0
 All Others                  74           0.0
 Wendy's International       71          -2.7
 Pizza Hut                   68          -4.2
 Domino's Pizza              67          -4.3
 Burger King                 66          +3.1
 KFC                         64           0.0
 Taco Bell                   64           0.0
 McDonald's                  61           0.0
Retail                       73.3        -1.9
 Dept., Discount Stores      72          -1.4
 Costco                      79            --
 Nordstrom                   76          -3.8
 J.C. Penney                 75           0.0
 Dayton-Hudson Disc.         74           0.0
 May Co.                     74          +2.8
 All Others                  73          +2.8
 Dayton-Hudson Dept.         72          -2.7
 Wal-Mart Stores             72          -4.0
 Sears Roebuck               71          -4.1
 AAFES                       70          +2.9
 Dillard's                   68          -4.2
 Federated Dept. Stores      68          +1.5
 Kmart                       67          -5.6
Supermarkets                 74          +1.4
 Publix Super Markets        82          +3.8
 Wal-Mart Stores             78          +4.0
 Supervalu                   75          -2.6
 Kroger                      74          +1.4
 Albertson's                 73          +4.3
 Safeway                     72          +1.4
 All Others                  71          -1.4
 Food Lion                   71          -2.7
 Winn-Dixie Stores           71          -4.1

  Source: The  American   Customer   Satisfaction   Index  is produced through
a partnership of the University of Michigan Business School and the
American Society for Quality

  To create the  American   Customer   Satisfaction   Index , the National
Quality Research Center conducts telephone surveys with 12,500 current 
customers of the companies being surveyed that quarter. Each year, that 
amounts to about 50,000 customers of products from 175 companies and 30 
government agencies. Sales of the measured companies constitute 30% to
40% of the U.S. gross domestic product. Companies are scored on a
scale of 0 to 100. Industry indexes are constructed with company
indexes, weighted by the sales of each company. The national index is
made up of the industry indexes, weighted by their contribution to
GDP. Different sectors are updated each quarter, so the entire index
is updated by sections once each year. Customers are quizzed about
their expectations and their perceptions of value and quality in the
services they have purchased; for manufactured goods, quality is
broken down into measures of the product and the service accompanying
the product. These are translated through computer models into overall 
customer-satisfaction scores, which are used to predict customer
complaints and customer loyalty.
   


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