Article 1 of 8
Economy

Customer Satisfaction:
Survey Finds Satisfaction Rises for Nondurables
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Corporate America Still Has
Some Distance to Travel
To Garner Highest Marks

By Calmetta Y. Coleman
 
11/22/1999
The Wall Street Journal
Page A2
(Copyright (c) 1999, Dow Jones & Company, Inc.)

This year's continuing spending spree shows that a robust economy sends consumers to the malls. But just because people are spending at record levels doesn't mean they're happy with all the goods they're getting. American consumers, after all, are known for high expectations.

But at least some products appear to be rising in the view of consumers. The latest results of the American Customer Satisfaction Index suggest that consumers are more pleased with most nondurable items, such as packaged foods, soft drinks and apparel, than they were a year ago.

The ACSI is based on a quarterly survey conducted by the National Quality Research Center at the University of Michigan Business School in partnership with Arthur Andersen and the American Society for Quality. The index, which is scheduled for release today, shows that satisfaction with nondurable products rose 1.5% in the third quarter to 80, out of a possible score of 100.

Still, corporate America appears to have a way to go to win high praise from demanding consumers. The broader index, which measures products in all categories, suggests that overall customer satisfaction has barely changed from a year ago, inching up to 72.1 from 72. And since 1994, the first year of the ACSI, satisfaction has fallen 2.8% from 74.2.

Even as American shoppers become increasingly finicky, keepers of the index say the longer-term drop in satisfaction can't be blamed on a rise in consumer expectations. According to the survey, expectations have risen by less than 1% since 1994, while customer service and product quality have fallen.

The goal of the ACSI is to show that the quality of economic output is as important as the productivity of economic resources. If consumers are displeased with the products being offered, they will stop buying them. And that could hurt the financial fortunes not only of individual companies, but of the overall economy, says Claes Fornell, director of the research center.

"The whole point of a market economy is for companies to compete for customer satisfaction. If the market works properly, it would penalize companies that fail to do this and reward ones that succeed," says Mr. Fornell, noting that several companies that have fared well on the index, including Hershey Foods Corp. and Coca-Cola Co., have also enjoyed strong financial performance.

Not everybody agrees with that simple view. Some economists see measures such as customer satisfaction and even consumer confidence as only soft indicators, at best, of the performance of the overall economy. "They don't tell us anything about where the economy is going," says Diane Swonk, chief economist at Banc One Corp. Ms. Swonk notes that consumers' opinions of companies are influenced by immediate external factors, such as negative news about a particular business, that don't necessarily result in decreased spending.

But supporters of the index note that companies are increasingly seeking to learn more about what people want and need. One example of this is companies using e-mail and the Internet to connect directly with consumers. "When a company sees increases in its customer satisfaction, it is a good sign that their product offerings are in alignment with current consumer tastes and trends," says Joseph O'Leary, a partner at Arthur Andersen.

The research center surveys 50,000 customers each year and covers 175 companies across three industries and five government agencies. It updates a portion of the database each quarter.

The nondurable-goods industry, which is always updated in the third quarter, typically has had higher satisfaction scores than other industries. The research center said that's because it's easier to switch from, say, one toothpaste brand to another than to change television models. So makers of short-term-use products must react quickly to changing customer needs. Rising customer satisfaction in the industry likely indicates that competition has resulted in better product choices.

That said, one surprising result of the latest survey was an increase in customer satisfaction with cigarettes and other tobacco products. Even amid rising cigarette prices, the category saw its first increase since 1995, up 1.3%. The entire rise came from R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Co., a unit of RJR Nabisco Holdings Corp., whose brands include Winston, Camel, Salem and Doral. Philip Morris Cos., maker of Marlboros, held steady. Both companies have invested heavily in promotions as they fight for share in a shrinking market. Nabisco had no immediate comment on the survey results.

Of the eight product categories measured in the latest quarter, only two saw a decrease in customer satisfaction: beer and personal-care and cleaning products.

Beer had a steeper overall decline of 3.7%, with the deepest dip for Adolph Coors Co., which fell 7.1% in customer satisfaction. But those results don't square with Coors's own feedback from consumers, according to spokesman Kevin Caulfield.

Coors says customer complaints are down 12% from a year ago, and sales during the third quarter rose 8.9% to $544 million. Still, Mr. Caulfield says, the company pays heed to any survey that measures customer satisfaction. "We certainly don't take it lightly," he says.

Anheuser-Busch Cos., which also saw a drop, declined to comment on the survey.

The personal-care and cleaning category, which includes powerhouse brands from the likes of Procter & Gamble Co. and Colgate-Palmolive Co., fell 1.2% to 81. While changes of less than 2% for an individual company are insignificant, Mr. Fornell says, a 1% shift for a category could signal that quality is suffering across the board. Personal-care and cleaning products had previously seen a dip in 1996, when it fell from 84 to 80, but for the past two years it had held steady at 82.

While most companies in the index declined to comment on their downward shift, Procter & Gamble, which fell 2.4%, said it was still pleased with its relatively high score of 81. "We believe that consumers are voting in favor of our products every day in the marketplace," says Simon Denegri, a spokesperson.

Clorox Co., whose products include long-established names Pine-Sol, 409 and Soft Scrub, says it lately has gotten more praises from customers than complaints. "Our own internal measures don't seem to correspond with a shift downward in consumer satisfaction," says spokesman Gil Roeder. "In fact, we see an opposite trend." Colgate-Palmolive and Dial Corp., which both saw their scores fall in the latest quarter, declined comment.

Some industry analysts speculate that the decrease in satisfaction might be the result of disenchantment with a slew of unchanged products in a marketplace that has otherwise seen great technological advances. "It's probably lack of product innovation," says Amny Low Chasen, of Goldman Sachs.

Among food-processing companies, overall satisfaction levels were unchanged. But some major corporations, including RJR Nabisco Holdings, Kellog Co. and Dole Food Co., had declines of more than 2%. Most notable was Dole's fall from 1994, when it was the highest-scoring firm in the index, with a core of 90. Since then, its rating has dropped about 11% to 80. This drop was surpassed only by airlines, which fell 12.5% to 63 from 72 in 1994. The ACSI measures airlines during the first quarter.

Mr. Fornell notes that Dole's ACSI decline began in 1996, and since then its stock has been gradually falling and now trades at half of what it did in 1994. Some analysts note that Dole, the world's largest banana producer, has expanded its product offerings in recent years, adding convenience items such as bagged salads. But the strategy means that Dole now must compete across a wider range of productes, most of which are priced higher than bananas.

Dole, based in Westlake Village, Calif., declined to comment, saying it hadn't seen the survey. Kellogg had no comment on its decline, while Nestle, which also showed a dip, declined to comment.

While statistically insignificant, a 1.2% decrease at General Mills Inc. could possibly be pinned on a change in the company's Bisquick mix last year. The breakfast-food maker changed the pancake recipe on the Bisquick box, asking consumers to add vanilla extract to the mix. A spokeswoman said the company was responding to customer requests for a mix that yields lighter, fluffier pancakes. But as soon as the new packaging rolled out, complaints rolled in and sales dropped.

General Mills recently restored the recipe and is starting to send the old Bisquick back to supermarkets. "We take very seriously the comments that come in on our customer service line," spokeswoman Pam Becker says, adding that the company hears from customers through letters, phone calls and e-mail.

Another food company, Kraft, also had a slight decrease, but noted that the change was statistically insignificant. "We don't see a reason for conern here," says spokeswoman Kathy Knuth.

Mr. Fornell, the head of the research center, also pointed out that customer expectations for Kraft rose 2% from a year earlier, higher than for other companies in the sector. Kraft, a unit of Philip Morris, is a sponsor of the ACSI. Sponsors pay a fee to get more detailed data on their products, but companies don't have to pay to be included in the survey.

Aside from food makers, the only category with overall unchanged results was casual apparel. Just two major companies in the index, Liz Claiborne Inc. and VF Wrangler, had decreases. Liz Claiborne, which had the larger decrease, wouldn't comment, while Wrangle parent VF Corp. dismissed its slight decline in the survey.

"Since our corporate name is not strongly associated with any of our apparel brand names, I don't believe that a decline in this particular survey is particularly meaningful," says Cindy Knoebel, a spokeswoman. VF's apparel brands include Wrangler and Lee jeans, Vanity Fair lingerie and Jantzen swimwear.

Athletic-shoe makers enjoyed the strongest increase in customer satisfaction, rising 2.7%. Nike Inc. held steady with the year-earlier level, while Reebok International Ltd. rose in customer's views. Other athletic-shoe companies, which aren't broken out in the survey, saw an overall rise of 3.9%.

Customer satisfaction with pet foods rose 1.2%, led by a 3.6% increase at Colgate-Palmolive, which makes Hill's Pet Nutrition. The category recently has benefitted from Americans' devotion to their pets, displayed by the rapid growth of pet superstores.

Soft-drink makers also saw a 1.2% increase in customer satisfaction, led by Coca-Cola and other beverage companies.

British-based Cadbury-Schweppes PLC, which owns Dr Pepper, had a 3.4% decrease but declined to comment on the survey. Meanwhile, pricing may have played a part in a 1.2% decline for Pepsi-Cola Co., a unit of PepsiCo Inc. Sales volumes at the company's beverage business fell 2.5% during the third quarter, largely as a result of bottlers aggressively raising prices in late summer and early fall. Coca-Cola also raised pices, but they came earlier in the

year.
David DeCecco, a Pepsi-Cola spokesman, who hadn't seen the satisfaction survey, was hesitant to comment on the results. But, he said, "looking at it on the surface, one [percentage] point seems insignificant."

To create the American Customer Satisfaction Index , the National Quality Research Center conducts telephone surveys with 12,500 current customers of the companies being surveyed that quarter. Each year, that amounts to about 50,000 customers of products from 175 companies and five government agencies. Sales of the measured companies constitute 30% to 40% of the U.S. gross domestic product. Companies are scored on a scale of 0 to 100. Industry indexes are constructed with company indexes, weighted by the sales of each company. The national index is made up of the industry indexes, weighted by their contribution to GDP. Different sectors are updated each quarter, so the entire index is updated by sections once each uear. Customers are quizzed about their expectations and their perceptions of value and quality in the services they have purchased; for manufactured goods, quality is broken down into measures of the product and the service accompanying the product. These are translated through computer models into overall customer-satisfaction scores, which are used to predict customer complaints and customer loyalty.

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          American   Customer   Satisfaction   Index :
              Nondurable Goods Industries

  The National Quality Research Center annually surveys customers of
175 companies and five government agencies, but each quarter it
updates selected industries. Here are the index scores, out of a
possible 100, for companies that make nondurable goods. A percentage
change for an individual company less than 2% is not statistically
significant.

                                     1999      % Change
  Group/Manufacturer                 Score     from 1998

Apparel                               79            0
  Fruit of the Loom                   80            0
  All Others                          79            0
  Sara Lee                            78         +1.3
  VF (Lee, Wrangler)                  78         -1.3
  Levi Strauss                        76         +1.3
  Liz Claiborne                       76         -2.6

Athletic shoes                        76         +2.7
  All Others                          79         +3.9
  Reebok International                75         +1.4
  NIKE                                73            0

Beverage/beer                         79         -3.7
  All Others                          81         -2.4
  Miller Brewing                      81            0
  Adolph Coors                        78         -7.1
  Anheuser-Busch                      78         -3.7

Beverage/soft drink                   84         +1.2
  All Others                          86         +6.2
  Cadbury Schweppes                   85         -3.4
  Coca-Cola                           84         +2.4
  PepsiCo                             82         -1.2

Food processing                       81            0
  Hershey Foods                       86         +2.4
  H.J. Heinz                          85         -1.2
  Mars                                84         +3.7
  Pillsbury                           84         +1.2
  Kraft USA                           83         -1.2
  Quaker Oats                         83            0
  Campbell Soup                       81         +1.3
  General Mills                       81         -1.2
  Kellogg                             81         -2.4
  Nestle, USA                         81         -2.4
  RJR Nabisco                         81         -2.4
  Sara Lee                            81         +1.3
  All Others                          80            0
  ConAgra                             80            0
  Dole Food                           80         -2.4
  Tyson Foods                         79         +0.0

Personal care products                81         -1.2
  Clorox                              84         -1.2
  Procter & Gamble                    81         -2.4
  Unilever United States              81         -2.4
  All Others                          80         +1.3
  Colgate-Palmolive                   80         -2.4
  Dial Corporation                    79         -2.5

Pet foods                             82         +1.2
  Colgate-Palmolive                   86         +3.6
  Nestle, USA                         84         +1.2
  All Others                          82         +1.2
  Ralston Purina                      82         +1.2
  H.J. Heinz                          81         +1.3
  Mars                                81         -1.2

Tobacco-cigarettes                    76         +1.3
  R.J. Reynolds Tobacco               77         +2.7
  All Others                          76         +2.7
  Philip Morris                       75            0

  Source: The  American   Customer   Satisfaction   Index  is produced through
a partnership of the University of Michigan Business School, American
Society for Quality, and Arthur Andersen.
   
   


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